Czech Republic 26/27 Regular Season Final · PS Sun 04 Oct 2026 209 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 1:1 P3 1:1 OT 0:0PS 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 17%
17% FBC Liberec
vs
83% ACEMA Sparta Praha

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBC Liberec 1413, ACEMA Sparta Praha 1729) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 91% of this season's games
FBC Liberec 06:05 0:1 Jiří Curney15:56 1:1 Marek Korych33:03 2:1 Martin Horn39:26 2:2 Jakub Mádlo48:34 3:2 Daniel Péc59:54 3:3 Mikuláš Krbec ACEMA Sparta Praha
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
1 FBC Liberec
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 39:26 2:2 Jakub Mádlo (ACEMA Sparta Praha) ACEMA Sparta Praha's win chance 55% → 73%
  2. 48:34 3:2 Daniel Péc (FBC Liberec) FBC Liberec's win chance 30% → 55%
  3. 59:54 3:3 Mikuláš Krbec (ACEMA Sparta Praha) ACEMA Sparta Praha's win chance 11% → 65%

The line shows FBC Liberec's chance to win (top) against ACEMA Sparta Praha's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 75.0

Penalties

3 / 5

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills4
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes5
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played3
6Points9
2.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
2Wins3
1Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
7.0Goals per Game (GPG)10.33
7.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.67
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.67
1.67Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.33
0.33Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W Last 5 games W W W
2.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.67

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.0
14.29Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
80.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)85.71