Slovakia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 21 Feb 2026
1. FBC Trenčín Home
10:8
Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica Away
P1 1:3 P2 1:2 P3 8:3

Pre-game win probability

81% 1. FBC Trenčín
vs
19% Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (1. FBC Trenčín 1834, Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1627) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
1. FBC Trenčín 01:33 0:1 Kupec Martin06:21 0:2 Krajčír Roman14:32 1:2 Amrich Michal18:34 1:3 Banga Peter30:47 2:3 Baránek Daniel36:33 2:4 Kešelák Mojmír39:12 2:5 Prokop Filip41:16 2:6 Bujna Michal45:59 3:6 Bulejčík Tomáš47:11 4:6 Rantala Juho49:20 4:7 Banga Peter49:51 5:7 Robota Maroš51:06 5:8 Banga Peter53:19 6:8 Rantala Juho53:58 7:8 Kvasnica Tomáš55:57 8:8 Habánek Boris59:11 9:8 Bulejčík Tomáš59:30 10:8 Kvasnica Tomáš Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Comeback
4 goals down

Key moments

  1. 53:58 7:8 Kvasnica Tomáš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 12% → 34%
  2. 55:57 8:8 Habánek Boris (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 28% → 65%
  3. 59:11 9:8 Bulejčík Tomáš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 64% → 95%

The line shows 1. FBC Trenčín's chance to win (top) against Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 40.0

Penalty kill efficiency

60.0 / 100.0

Penalties

5 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays5
0Power play goals2
5Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
52 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
20Games played20
56Points45
2.80Points per Game (PPG)2.25
18Wins13
0Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 2
2 OT/PS Losses 1
9.30Goals per Game (GPG)6.65
5.05Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.90
4.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.75
3.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games W W W L W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)2.20
4.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.80Points per Game (PPG)2.22
5.70Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
41.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
73.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0