Slovakia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sun 08 Mar 2026
P1 1:1 P2 3:3 P3 7:1

Pre-game win probability

93% 1. FBC Trenčín
vs
7% FBK Nižná

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (1. FBC Trenčín 1778, FBK Nižná 1370) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 56% of this season's games
1. FBC Trenčín 07:20 0:1 Mačňák Marián13:57 1:1 Baránek Daniel22:02 2:1 Kvasnica Tomáš23:03 3:1 Krajčovič Tomáš25:49 3:2 Reguly Tomáš26:38 3:3 Santer Martin29:27 4:3 Kvasnica Tomáš32:04 4:4 Nákačka Marcel44:46 4:5 Latka Martin54:12 5:5 Vrábeľ Dominik56:34 6:5 Kvasnica Tomáš57:01 7:5 Masár Šimon58:05 8:5 Kvasnica Tomáš58:17 9:5 Masár Šimon58:31 10:5 Bulejčík Tomáš58:51 11:5 Rantala Juho FBK Nižná
Lead changes
3
Ties
4
Largest lead
6 1. FBC Trenčín
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 44:46 4:5 Latka Martin (FBK Nižná) FBK Nižná's win chance 18% → 35%
  2. 54:12 5:5 Vrábeľ Dominik (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 46% → 77%
  3. 56:34 6:5 Kvasnica Tomáš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 75% → 94%

The line shows 1. FBC Trenčín's chance to win (top) against FBK Nižná's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead2
2Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
110 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
1Games played1
3Points0
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1Wins0
0Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
9.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.0
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)9.0
6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.0
5.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)5.0
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)3.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W Last 5 games L
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.0
60.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)40.0
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0