Slovakia 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final · OT Sat 21 Mar 2026
P1 0:1 P2 1:3 P3 3:0 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 23%
77% 1. FBC Trenčín
vs
23% Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (1. FBC Trenčín 1774, Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1610) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 93% of this season's games
1. FBC Trenčín 08:33 0:1 Kešelák Mojmír22:39 0:2 Livař Matej26:26 0:3 Prokop Filip32:51 0:4 Šifra Michal33:47 1:4 Bulejčík Tomáš42:06 2:4 Kvasnica Tomáš58:19 3:4 Amrich Michal59:56 4:4 Bulejčík TomášOT 03:20 4:5 Jurica Tomáš Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 58:19 3:4 Amrich Michal (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 3% → 18%
  2. 59:56 4:4 Bulejčík Tomáš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 9% → 62%
  3. OT 03:20 4:5 Jurica Tomáš (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica) Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's win chance 39% → 100%

The line shows 1. FBC Trenčín's chance to win (top) against Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played5
8Points9
2.67Points per Game (PPG)1.80
2Wins3
0Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
8.67Goals per Game (GPG)6.0
4.33Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.0
4.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
3.67Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.20
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W Last 5 games W W L L W
2.67Points per Game (PPG)1.80
4.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
57.14Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)64.29
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)63.64