Slovakia 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final · OT Sun 22 Mar 2026
P1 4:2 P2 1:2 P3 0:1 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 26%
74% 1. FBC Trenčín
vs
26% Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (1. FBC Trenčín 1758, Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1626) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 67% of this season's games
1. FBC Trenčín 00:46 1:0 Bulejčík Tomáš01:41 1:1 Pápay Alex02:14 2:1 Masár Šimon16:26 3:1 Amrich Michal17:03 3:2 Banga Peter18:37 4:2 Bulejčík Tomáš22:56 4:3 Jurica Tomáš25:22 4:4 Jurica Tomáš35:52 5:4 Rantala Juho40:24 5:5 Banga PeterOT 02:11 5:6 Banga Peter Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 1. FBC Trenčín
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 35:52 5:4 Rantala Juho (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 67% → 81%
  2. 40:24 5:5 Banga Peter (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica) Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's win chance 19% → 34%
  3. OT 02:11 5:6 Banga Peter (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica) Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's win chance 40% → 100%

The line shows 1. FBC Trenčín's chance to win (top) against Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

4 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays4
0Power play goals0
4Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
0Equalizers3
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played6
9Points11
2.25Points per Game (PPG)1.83
2Wins3
0Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
7.50Goals per Game (GPG)5.83
4.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.83
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L Last 5 games W L L W W
2.25Points per Game (PPG)1.60
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.33Points per Game (PPG)0.67
3.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.33
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)72.73
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)63.64