Slovakia 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Sun 29 Mar 2026
P1 2:2 P2 2:1 P3 0:3

Pre-game win probability

33% Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
vs
67% 1. FBC Trenčín

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1609, 1. FBC Trenčín 1776) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 70% of this season's games
Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 04:54 0:1 Rantala Juho06:12 1:1 Jurica Tomáš07:56 1:2 Amrich Michal13:59 2:2 Šifra Michal20:47 2:3 Robota Maroš29:11 3:3 Kovaľ Maroš36:39 4:3 Banga Peter50:33 4:4 Kvasnica Tomáš51:38 4:5 Robota Maroš57:39 4:6 Kvasnica Tomáš 1. FBC Trenčín
Lead changes
2
Ties
4
Largest lead
2 1. FBC Trenčín
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 36:39 4:3 Banga Peter (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica) Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's win chance 38% → 57%
  2. 50:33 4:4 Kvasnica Tomáš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 32% → 59%
  3. 51:38 4:5 Robota Maroš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 59% → 82%

The line shows Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's chance to win (top) against 1. FBC Trenčín's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
2Power play goals1
1Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead4
3Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played6
13Points13
1.62Points per Game (PPG)2.17
3Wins3
3Losses0
2 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 2
5.50Goals per Game (GPG)6.83
5.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.50
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.33
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W L Last 5 games W W L L W
1.40Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.25Points per Game (PPG)2.50
1.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
30.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
77.78Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)28.57