Slovakia 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 26 Sep 2026
P1 1:1 P2 2:3 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 13%
87% 1. FBC Trenčín
vs
13% Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (1. FBC Trenčín 1821, Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1532) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 79% of this season's games
1. FBC Trenčín 02:56 1:0 Habánek Boris15:25 1:1 Jurica Tomáš23:56 1:2 Jurica Tomáš26:42 1:3 Chochol Oliver28:44 2:3 Hatala Šimon38:40 2:4 Kovaľ Maroš39:34 3:4 Amrich Michal42:09 3:5 Kupec Martin45:49 4:5 Tielinen Nikke Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 39:34 3:4 Amrich Michal (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 41% → 61%
  2. 42:09 3:5 Kupec Martin (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica) Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's win chance 42% → 63%
  3. 45:49 4:5 Tielinen Nikke (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 31% → 54%

The line shows 1. FBC Trenčín's chance to win (top) against Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

3 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
2Games played2
6Points3
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
2Wins1
0Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
5.50Goals per Game (GPG)6.0
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.0
2.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
3.50Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.50Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W Last 5 games L W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
2.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
42.86Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
85.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0