Slovakia 26/27 Regular Season Final · PS Sat 10 Oct 2026
P1 2:1 P2 0:2 P3 1:1 OT 0:0PS 0:1

Pre-game win probability

6% FBK Nižná
vs
94% 1. FBC Trenčín

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Nižná 1290, 1. FBC Trenčín 1806) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 23% of this season's games
FBK Nižná 01:15 0:1 Tielinen Nikke09:38 1:1 Reguly Tomáš11:57 2:1 Reguly Tomáš22:26 2:2 Kvasnica Tomáš30:00 2:3 Ochránek Michal44:38 3:3 Reguly Tomáš48:58 3:4 Hatala Šimon 1. FBC Trenčín
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
1 FBK Nižná
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 22:26 2:2 Kvasnica Tomáš (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 85% → 91%
  2. 44:38 3:3 Reguly Tomáš (FBK Nižná) FBK Nižná's win chance 8% → 17%
  3. 48:58 3:4 Hatala Šimon (1. FBC Trenčín) 1. FBC Trenčín's win chance 81% → 92%

The line shows FBK Nižná's chance to win (top) against 1. FBC Trenčín's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers3
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
0Points9
0.0Points per Game (PPG)2.25
0Wins3
4Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.50Goals per Game (GPG)6.75
8.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.75
-4.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0
1.75Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.0
1.50Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L Last 5 games W W L W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)2.25
-4.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.0
11.11Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
14.29Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0