Slovakia 26/27 Regular Season Scheduled Sat 09 Jan 2027 · 17:50

Win probability

21% Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica
vs
79% 1. FBC Trenčín

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings today (Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1554, 1. FBC Trenčín 1828) with home advantage. How it works

What's at stake

First place in sight: 1. FBC Trenčín finish top in 90% of simulated seasons with a win, 79% with a loss.

TeamTodayWinLoss Playoffs Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 97% 99% 96% 1. FBC Trenčín 100% 100% 100% Title Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica 1% 2% 1% 1. FBC Trenčín 87% 88% 84% 1st place Tsunami Záhorská Bystrica <1% 1% <1% 1. FBC Trenčín 88% 90% 79%

From the season simulations: each team's chance today, in the seasons where it wins this game (overtime included) and in those where it loses. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
0First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played8
13Points20
1.62Points per Game (PPG)2.50
4Wins6
3Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.12Goals per Game (GPG)7.88
4.88Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.75
0.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.12
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W W Last 5 games W W W W W
1.40Points per Game (PPG)2.80
-0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)2.80
1.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.20
11.11Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
42.86Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33