Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 05 Oct 2025 573 spectators
AIK IBF Home
5:6
IBF Falun Away
P1 2:2 P2 1:2 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

39% AIK IBF
vs
61% IBF Falun

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (AIK IBF 1464, IBF Falun 1585) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 66% of this season's games
AIK IBF 03:12 0:1 Emil Hallqvist Johansson05:16 1:1 Own goal10:22 2:1 Andreas Stefansson16:47 2:2 Own goal28:18 3:2 Wille Jäderlund38:45 3:3 Oliver Sandberg39:45 3:4 Malte Lundmark54:17 3:5 Emil Hallqvist Johansson54:24 3:6 Malte Lundmark56:42 4:6 Andreas Stefansson58:17 5:6 Andreas Stefansson IBF Falun
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
3 IBF Falun
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 28:18 3:2 Wille Jäderlund (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 42% → 58%
  2. 38:45 3:3 Oliver Sandberg (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 38% → 57%
  3. 39:45 3:4 Malte Lundmark (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 57% → 75%

The line shows AIK IBF's chance to win (top) against IBF Falun's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played3
2Points8
0.67Points per Game (PPG)2.67
0Wins2
1Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
3.33Goals per Game (GPG)9.0
6.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.67
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.33
0.33Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.33Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.33

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L Last 5 games W W W
0.67Points per Game (PPG)2.67
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.33

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
0.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0