Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 15 Oct 2025 880 spectators
P1 0:4 P2 1:2 P3 3:0

Pre-game win probability

27% Strängnäs IBK
vs
73% FBC Kalmarsund

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1351, FBC Kalmarsund 1565) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 9% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 01:39 0:1 Johan Palmqvist14:18 0:2 Linus Malmström16:51 0:3 Gabriel Erol17:12 0:4 Stefan Hutzli31:58 0:5 William Forsman Eklund34:43 1:5 Omar Aldeeb37:56 1:6 Anton Willsund42:58 2:6 Adam Hermesgård46:09 3:6 Adam Hermesgård56:25 4:6 Pelle Hansson FBC Kalmarsund
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
5 FBC Kalmarsund
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 01:39 0:1 Johan Palmqvist (FBC Kalmarsund) FBC Kalmarsund's win chance 75% → 83%
  2. 14:18 0:2 Linus Malmström (FBC Kalmarsund) FBC Kalmarsund's win chance 82% → 88%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against FBC Kalmarsund's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 50.0

Penalties

4 / 5

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays3
2Power play goals2
3Penalty kills4
2Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes5
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played5
1Points10
0.20Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0Wins3
4Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 1
3.0Goals per Game (GPG)5.40
7.20Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.20
-4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.20
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L W W L W
0.20Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)0.50
-3.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0