Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · PS Wed 15 Oct 2025 309 spectators
AIK IBF Home
6:5
Mullsjö AIS Away
P1 3:3 P2 1:1 P3 1:1 OT 0:0PS 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 31%
31% AIK IBF
vs
69% Mullsjö AIS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (AIK IBF 1427, Mullsjö AIS 1607) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 86% of this season's games
AIK IBF 00:13 0:1 Martin Rönnklint04:53 1:1 Jesper Andersson06:12 2:1 Liam Åström08:45 2:2 Tim Andersson Carlsson10:24 2:3 Pelle Tarenius10:48 3:3 Andreas Stefansson24:41 4:3 Liam Åström35:51 4:4 Pelle Tarenius41:13 5:4 Jonas Rosén47:13 5:5 Pelle Tarenius Mullsjö AIS
Lead changes
3
Ties
5
Largest lead
1 AIK IBF
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 35:51 4:4 Pelle Tarenius (Mullsjö AIS) Mullsjö AIS's win chance 45% → 63%
  2. 41:13 5:4 Jonas Rosén (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 38% → 58%
  3. 47:13 5:5 Pelle Tarenius (Mullsjö AIS) Mullsjö AIS's win chance 36% → 61%

The line shows AIK IBF's chance to win (top) against Mullsjö AIS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 50.0

Penalties

0 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays0
1Power play goals0
0Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead2
2Equalizers3
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played5
2Points10
0.40Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0Wins3
3Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
2 OT/PS Losses 1
4.0Goals per Game (GPG)8.40
6.40Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.40
-2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0
0.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games W W L L W
0.40Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)1.50
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.50
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)83.33