Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 15 Oct 2025 736 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 4:1 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

62% Nykvarns IBF
vs
38% Warberg IC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nykvarns IBF 1473, Warberg IC 1431) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 27% of this season's games
Nykvarns IBF 07:48 1:0 Markus Jonsson08:28 1:1 Filip Norman21:27 2:1 Valdemar Ahlroth23:49 3:1 Kevin Rigogiannis28:08 3:2 Morics Krumins32:27 4:2 Oscar Fondelius35:42 5:2 Kevin Mattsson56:22 6:2 Markus Jonsson57:57 6:3 Filip Erheden58:42 6:4 Isac Olsson Ferm Warberg IC
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Nykvarns IBF
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 07:48 1:0 Markus Jonsson (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 63% → 74%
  2. 08:28 1:1 Filip Norman (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 26% → 37%
  3. 21:27 2:1 Valdemar Ahlroth (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 61% → 74%

The line shows Nykvarns IBF's chance to win (top) against Warberg IC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
1Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played5
8Points5
1.60Points per Game (PPG)1.0
2Wins1
2Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
5.60Goals per Game (GPG)3.60
6.80Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.20
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.60
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L W W Last 5 games L L W W L
1.60Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-1.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0