Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 25 Oct 2025 305 spectators
P1 3:2 P2 3:1 P3 1:4 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 18%
82% Pixbo IBK
vs
18% Strängnäs IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Pixbo IBK 1554, Strängnäs IBK 1336) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 84% of this season's games
Pixbo IBK 01:37 0:1 Oscar Janthe04:25 1:1 Alfred Pettersson05:31 1:2 Adam Hermesgård09:17 2:2 Arvid Äse18:07 3:2 Jakob Heins25:02 4:2 Benjamin Schill28:09 5:2 Václav Babík35:36 6:2 Jakob Heins37:00 6:3 Oscar Janthe41:12 6:4 Oscar Janthe41:59 6:5 Adam Hermesgård49:53 6:6 Adam Hermesgård55:20 7:6 Linus Nestorsson58:29 7:7 Pelle HanssonOT 03:00 7:8 Tim Lindgren Strängnäs IBK
Lead changes
2
Ties
4
Largest lead
4 Pixbo IBK
Comeback
4 goals down

Key moments

  1. 55:20 7:6 Linus Nestorsson (Pixbo IBK) Pixbo IBK's win chance 66% → 90%
  2. 58:29 7:7 Pelle Hansson (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 6% → 35%
  3. OT 03:00 7:8 Tim Lindgren (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 36% → 100%

The line shows Pixbo IBK's chance to win (top) against Strängnäs IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals2
2Penalty kills0
2Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead3
2Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played6
11Points1
1.83Points per Game (PPG)0.17
3Wins0
2Losses5
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 1
5.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.17
3.17Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.0
1.83Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.83
0.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W L W Last 5 games L L L L L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)0.20
2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.67Points per Game (PPG)0.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.67
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)42.86
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)28.57