Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 22 Nov 2025 897 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 4:2 P3 5:2

Pre-game win probability

65% Strängnäs IBK
vs
35% Hovslätts IK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1346, Hovslätts IK 1284) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 61% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 11:59 0:1 Noel Gustafsson19:09 1:1 Tim Lindgren21:32 2:1 Omar Aldeeb21:55 2:2 Lucas Lindberg23:17 3:2 Adam Hermesgård23:27 3:3 Noel Gustafsson31:04 4:3 Pelle Hansson38:38 5:3 Adam Hermesgård44:06 5:4 Melwin Knuthas44:34 6:4 Tim Lindgren46:08 7:4 Adam Hermesgård51:41 8:4 Pelle Hansson53:41 8:5 Lucas Lindberg56:09 9:5 Omar Aldeeb59:00 10:5 Adam Hermesgård Hovslätts IK
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
5 Strängnäs IBK
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 11:59 0:1 Noel Gustafsson (Hovslätts IK) Hovslätts IK's win chance 35% → 48%
  2. 19:09 1:1 Tim Lindgren (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 49% → 64%
  3. 31:04 4:3 Pelle Hansson (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 61% → 76%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against Hovslätts IK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

66.67 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 33.33

Penalties

1 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays1
2Power play goals1
1Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
9Games played9
4Points2
0.44Points per Game (PPG)0.22
0Wins0
6Losses7
1 OT/PS Wins 0
2 OT/PS Losses 2
4.22Goals per Game (GPG)4.78
7.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.89
-2.78Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.11
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.40
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L L Last 5 games L L L L L
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.20
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)0.50
-2.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.50
57.14Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)0.0
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33