Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 30 Nov 2025 802 spectators
IBF Falun Home
5:7
Strängnäs IBK Away
P1 1:2 P2 0:3 P3 4:2

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 15%
85% IBF Falun
vs
15% Strängnäs IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (IBF Falun 1632, Strängnäs IBK 1379) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 76% of this season's games
IBF Falun 04:13 0:1 Pelle Hansson09:20 0:2 Pelle Hansson17:29 1:2 Emil Hallqvist Johansson22:42 1:3 Adam Hermesgård26:09 1:4 Kalle Karlsson30:15 1:5 Pelle Hansson40:49 2:5 Casper Backby41:51 2:6 Adam Hermesgård43:43 3:6 Daniel Kalentun51:17 4:6 Emil Ruud55:50 4:7 Tim Lindgren55:59 5:7 Malte Lundmark Strängnäs IBK
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 Strängnäs IBK
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 22:42 1:3 Adam Hermesgård (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 29% → 43%
  2. 26:09 1:4 Kalle Karlsson (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 47% → 62%
  3. 30:15 1:5 Pelle Hansson (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 67% → 80%

The line shows IBF Falun's chance to win (top) against Strängnäs IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
10Games played10
22Points7
2.20Points per Game (PPG)0.70
6Wins1
1Losses6
1 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 2
7.10Goals per Game (GPG)4.80
5.20Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.80
1.90Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W L Last 5 games L W L L W
2.20Points per Game (PPG)1.20
2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.40
5.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
77.78Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0