Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 06 Dec 2025 664 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 2:2 P3 4:3

Pre-game win probability

84% Nykvarns IBF
vs
16% Hovslätts IK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nykvarns IBF 1520, Hovslätts IK 1280) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 44% of this season's games
Nykvarns IBF 23:44 0:1 Teddy Hultberg27:25 1:1 Lucas Rigogiannis32:14 1:2 Noel Gustafsson37:46 2:2 Valdemar Ahlroth46:56 3:2 Filip Ceder51:35 4:2 Filip Ceder54:22 5:2 Karljohan Ahlroth55:52 6:2 Sebastian Thorberg57:27 6:3 Albin Rommeskog57:55 6:4 Marcus Hamrin58:43 6:5 Marcus Hamrin Hovslätts IK
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
4 Nykvarns IBF
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 32:14 1:2 Noel Gustafsson (Hovslätts IK) Hovslätts IK's win chance 23% → 37%
  2. 37:46 2:2 Valdemar Ahlroth (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 58% → 75%
  3. 46:56 3:2 Filip Ceder (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 71% → 87%

The line shows Nykvarns IBF's chance to win (top) against Hovslätts IK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
2Power play goals1
1Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
11Games played11
19Points5
1.73Points per Game (PPG)0.45
5Wins1
4Losses8
2 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 2
6.18Goals per Game (GPG)5.18
6.09Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.91
0.09Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.73
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W L Last 5 games L L L L W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.43Points per Game (PPG)0.40
1.14Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.80
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)25.0
44.44Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)57.14