Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 20 Dec 2025 1450 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 2:1 P3 1:3 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 32%
68% Nykvarns IBF
vs
32% Strängnäs IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nykvarns IBF 1525, Strängnäs IBK 1441) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 73% of this season's games
Nykvarns IBF 02:28 1:0 Niklas Ohlström27:54 2:0 Karljohan Ahlroth36:03 3:0 Karljohan Ahlroth37:31 3:1 Oscar Janthe45:01 3:2 Adam Hermesgård48:43 3:3 Oscar Janthe50:14 4:3 Markus Jonsson55:00 4:4 Adam HermesgårdOT 00:14 4:5 Viktor Seth Strängnäs IBK
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Nykvarns IBF
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 50:14 4:3 Markus Jonsson (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 59% → 82%
  2. 55:00 4:4 Adam Hermesgård (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 14% → 42%
  3. OT 00:14 4:5 Viktor Seth (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 43% → 100%

The line shows Nykvarns IBF's chance to win (top) against Strängnäs IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
0Power play goals1
2Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
12Games played12
22Points12
1.83Points per Game (PPG)1.0
6Wins2
4Losses6
2 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 2
6.17Goals per Game (GPG)5.17
6.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.58
0.17Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.42
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L W Last 5 games L L W W W
1.80Points per Game (PPG)1.80
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1.12Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.71
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)28.57
44.44Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)28.57