Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 10 Jan 2026 636 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 3:1 P3 3:2

Pre-game win probability

61% Warberg IC
vs
39% Strängnäs IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Warberg IC 1449, Strängnäs IBK 1420) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 63% of this season's games
Warberg IC 09:00 0:1 Adam Hermesgård09:55 1:1 Viktor Hammarstedt21:58 1:2 Pelle Hansson31:44 2:2 Isac Olsson Ferm34:49 3:2 Max Källerteg39:41 4:2 Morics Krumins47:12 4:3 Tim Lindgren50:39 5:3 Filip Erheden58:07 5:4 Pelle Hansson59:14 6:4 Filip Erheden59:40 7:4 Markus Berntsson Strängnäs IBK
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Warberg IC
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 21:58 1:2 Pelle Hansson (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 41% → 56%
  2. 31:44 2:2 Isac Olsson Ferm (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 41% → 58%
  3. 34:49 3:2 Max Källerteg (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 57% → 74%

The line shows Warberg IC's chance to win (top) against Strängnäs IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played15
20Points14
1.33Points per Game (PPG)0.93
6Wins2
8Losses8
1 OT/PS Wins 3
0 OT/PS Losses 2
4.53Goals per Game (GPG)4.87
5.47Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.33
-0.93Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.47
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L L Last 5 games W W W L L
0.60Points per Game (PPG)1.40
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.71Points per Game (PPG)1.0
0.14Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)54.55
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33