Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 10 Jan 2026 638 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 3:2 P3 1:4

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 34%
66% Nykvarns IBF
vs
34% Jönköpings IK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nykvarns IBF 1465, Jönköpings IK 1396) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 85% of this season's games
Nykvarns IBF 07:21 0:1 Arvid Skogeryd13:45 1:1 Markus Jonsson19:08 1:2 Oscar Rohlin20:30 1:3 Oscar Rohlin22:35 2:3 Karljohan Ahlroth33:22 3:3 Oscar Fondelius35:24 4:3 Valdemar Ahlroth36:19 4:4 David Johannesson47:20 4:5 Oscar Rohlin57:40 4:6 Emil Jacobsson57:58 5:6 Kevin Rigogiannis59:05 5:7 Måns Andersson59:44 5:8 Emil Jacobsson Jönköpings IK
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
3 Jönköpings IK
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 33:22 3:3 Oscar Fondelius (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 44% → 62%
  2. 36:19 4:4 David Johannesson (Jönköpings IK) Jönköpings IK's win chance 23% → 39%
  3. 47:20 4:5 Oscar Rohlin (Jönköpings IK) Jönköpings IK's win chance 41% → 65%

The line shows Nykvarns IBF's chance to win (top) against Jönköpings IK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 75.0

Penalties

1 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead3
2Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty1

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played15
23Points14
1.53Points per Game (PPG)0.93
6Wins4
6Losses10
2 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.87Goals per Game (GPG)4.80
6.47Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.87
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.07
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L L Last 5 games L L L L W
0.80Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.33Points per Game (PPG)0.38
0.89Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.88
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)60.0
42.86Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86