Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 10 Jan 2026 589 spectators
Hovslätts IK Home
6:5
FBC Kalmarsund Away
P1 2:2 P2 3:1 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 22%
22% Hovslätts IK
vs
78% FBC Kalmarsund

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Hovslätts IK 1228, FBC Kalmarsund 1489) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 89% of this season's games
Hovslätts IK 06:13 1:0 Simon Eriksson09:33 1:1 Stefan Hutzli19:15 2:1 Filip Larsson19:33 2:2 Victor Wettergren24:23 3:2 Melwin Knuthas25:19 4:2 Lucas Lindberg28:41 4:3 William Forsman Eklund30:42 5:3 Albin Rommeskog41:18 5:4 Emil Hellgren42:02 6:4 Lucas Lindberg44:41 6:5 Linus Malmström FBC Kalmarsund
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Hovslätts IK
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 41:18 5:4 Emil Hellgren (FBC Kalmarsund) FBC Kalmarsund's win chance 29% → 49%
  2. 42:02 6:4 Lucas Lindberg (Hovslätts IK) Hovslätts IK's win chance 52% → 72%
  3. 44:41 6:5 Linus Malmström (FBC Kalmarsund) FBC Kalmarsund's win chance 25% → 45%

The line shows Hovslätts IK's chance to win (top) against FBC Kalmarsund's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played15
5Points23
0.33Points per Game (PPG)1.53
1Wins6
12Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 3
5.33Goals per Game (GPG)5.13
8.67Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.87
-3.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.27
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games L W L L L
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.80
-1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.38Points per Game (PPG)0.71
-3.38Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.57
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)85.71
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0