Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 10 Jan 2026 543 spectators
AIK IBF Home
6:5
Storvreta IBK Away
P1 2:0 P2 1:5 P3 2:0 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 8%
8% AIK IBF
vs
92% Storvreta IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (AIK IBF 1292, Storvreta IBK 1756) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 82% of this season's games
AIK IBF 02:53 1:0 Isaac Lindberg17:52 2:0 Andreas Stefansson25:04 2:1 Filip Langer27:12 3:1 Isaac Lindberg32:42 3:2 Ondrej Nemecek35:44 3:3 Viktor Nystedt37:57 3:4 Filip Björk38:42 3:5 Filip Langer44:41 4:5 Andreas Stefansson57:20 5:5 Kim GuilotteOT 02:10 6:5 Liam Åström Storvreta IBK
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 AIK IBF
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 32:42 3:2 Ondrej Nemecek (Storvreta IBK) Storvreta IBK's win chance 59% → 74%
  2. 57:20 5:5 Kim Guilotte (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 6% → 27%
  3. OT 02:10 6:5 Liam Åström (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 28% → 100%

The line shows AIK IBF's chance to win (top) against Storvreta IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

75.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 25.0

Penalties

0 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays0
3Power play goals0
0Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK3

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played15
10Points37
0.67Points per Game (PPG)2.47
1Wins10
8Losses1
1 OT/PS Wins 3
5 OT/PS Losses 1
4.33Goals per Game (GPG)6.47
6.53Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.0
-2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.47
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L L Last 5 games L W W W W
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.60
-1.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.71Points per Game (PPG)2.17
-1.29Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.67
75.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0