Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 18 Jan 2026 702 spectators
P1 1:3 P2 0:1 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 18%
82% Mullsjö AIS
vs
18% Nykvarns IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Mullsjö AIS 1628, Nykvarns IBF 1411) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 53% of this season's games
Mullsjö AIS 02:52 0:1 Liam Arvidsson04:53 0:2 Valdemar Ahlroth09:40 0:3 Benjamin Lindskog18:07 1:3 Victor Jensen39:39 1:4 Sebastian Thorberg55:39 2:4 Hampus Morelius59:05 2:5 Hampus Ahrén Nykvarns IBF
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
3 Nykvarns IBF
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 09:40 0:3 Benjamin Lindskog (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 38% → 50%
  2. 18:07 1:3 Victor Jensen (Mullsjö AIS) Mullsjö AIS's win chance 42% → 56%
  3. 39:39 1:4 Sebastian Thorberg (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 65% → 81%

The line shows Mullsjö AIS's chance to win (top) against Nykvarns IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
1Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
16Games played16
29Points23
1.81Points per Game (PPG)1.44
8Wins6
4Losses7
1 OT/PS Wins 2
3 OT/PS Losses 1
6.88Goals per Game (GPG)5.81
5.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.56
1.62Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.75
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W W Last 5 games W L L L L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.80
1.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.43Points per Game (PPG)0.33
3.86Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.83
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)44.44