Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 17 Jan 2026 1007 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 2:1 P3 1:1 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 24%
24% Strängnäs IBK
vs
76% Linköping IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1390, Linköping IBK 1636) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 88% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 05:01 0:1 Lukas Puncochar20:20 1:1 Adam Hermesgård31:23 2:1 Adam Hermesgård36:31 2:2 Oskar Hovlund51:55 3:2 Kalle Karlsson59:19 3:3 Simon PalménOT 03:29 4:3 Omar Aldeeb Linköping IBK
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
1 Strängnäs IBK
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 51:55 3:2 Kalle Karlsson (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 36% → 65%
  2. 59:19 3:3 Simon Palmén (Linköping IBK) Linköping IBK's win chance 13% → 61%
  3. OT 03:29 4:3 Omar Aldeeb (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 39% → 100%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against Linköping IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
16Games played16
14Points32
0.88Points per Game (PPG)2.0
2Wins8
9Losses4
3 OT/PS Wins 4
2 OT/PS Losses 0
4.81Goals per Game (GPG)5.75
6.38Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.19
-1.56Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.56
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L L L Last 5 games L W W W L
0.80Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.83Points per Game (PPG)2.25
-1.17Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.88
42.86Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)57.14
55.56Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33