Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 24 Jan 2026 853 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 0:0 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

54% Strängnäs IBK
vs
46% Jönköpings IK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1406, Jönköpings IK 1422) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 51% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 00:41 1:0 Adam Hermesgård11:58 1:1 Anton Svanberg14:32 1:2 Oscar Rohlin48:45 1:3 Noah Johansson49:15 2:3 Adam Hermesgård52:24 2:4 Hannes Nyström59:38 3:4 Hampus Grundel Jönköpings IK
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 Jönköpings IK
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 48:45 1:3 Noah Johansson (Jönköpings IK) Jönköpings IK's win chance 72% → 88%
  2. 49:15 2:3 Adam Hermesgård (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 12% → 27%
  3. 52:24 2:4 Hannes Nyström (Jönköpings IK) Jönköpings IK's win chance 76% → 91%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against Jönköpings IK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
17Games played17
16Points17
0.94Points per Game (PPG)1.0
2Wins5
9Losses11
4 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
4.76Goals per Game (GPG)4.94
6.18Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.82
-1.41Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.88
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L W Last 5 games L L W W L
0.80Points per Game (PPG)1.20
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.67
-0.86Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.33
57.14Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)12.50