Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · PS Sat 24 Jan 2026 680 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 3:1 P3 3:3 OT 0:0PS 1:0

Pre-game win probability

46% Nykvarns IBF
vs
54% Växjö IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nykvarns IBF 1483, Växjö IBK 1553) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 94% of this season's games
Nykvarns IBF 04:00 0:1 Jonathan Nilsson19:38 0:2 André Andersson22:51 1:2 Liam Arvidsson23:39 2:2 Karljohan Ahlroth28:25 2:3 Heikki Iiskola32:19 3:3 Kevin Rigogiannis42:49 4:3 Filip Ceder43:42 4:4 Jonathan Nilsson43:54 5:4 Karljohan Ahlroth46:58 6:4 Filip Ceder52:57 6:5 Heikki Iiskola54:33 6:6 Oliver Mendoza Nyberg Växjö IBK
Lead changes
1
Ties
4
Largest lead
2 Nykvarns IBF
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 43:42 4:4 Jonathan Nilsson (Växjö IBK) Växjö IBK's win chance 31% → 52%
  2. 43:54 5:4 Karljohan Ahlroth (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 48% → 69%
  3. 54:33 6:6 Oliver Mendoza Nyberg (Växjö IBK) Växjö IBK's win chance 21% → 52%

The line shows Nykvarns IBF's chance to win (top) against Växjö IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
2Equalizers2
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
17Games played17
26Points30
1.53Points per Game (PPG)1.76
7Wins6
7Losses3
2 OT/PS Wins 4
1 OT/PS Losses 4
5.76Goals per Game (GPG)5.47
6.29Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.12
-0.53Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.35
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L W Last 5 games L W L W W
0.80Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.10Points per Game (PPG)2.25
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.38
20.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)60.0
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0