Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 28 Jan 2026 585 spectators
P1 3:1 P2 0:1 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

57% Warberg IC
vs
43% Nykvarns IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Warberg IC 1491, Nykvarns IBF 1489) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 46% of this season's games
Warberg IC 07:40 1:0 Isac Olsson Ferm10:12 1:1 Hampus Ahrén13:42 2:1 Filip Erheden16:21 3:1 Filip Erheden33:59 3:2 Lucas Rigogiannis47:55 4:2 Filip Erheden55:02 4:3 Karljohan Ahlroth Nykvarns IBF
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 Warberg IC
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 13:42 2:1 Filip Erheden (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 57% → 69%
  2. 47:55 4:2 Filip Erheden (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 76% → 90%
  3. 55:02 4:3 Karljohan Ahlroth (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 5% → 17%

The line shows Warberg IC's chance to win (top) against Nykvarns IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
18Games played18
26Points28
1.44Points per Game (PPG)1.56
7Wins7
8Losses7
2 OT/PS Wins 3
1 OT/PS Losses 1
4.67Goals per Game (GPG)5.83
5.28Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.28
-0.61Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.44
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L W Last 5 games L L L W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.88Points per Game (PPG)0.71
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
42.86Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)22.22