Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 31 Jan 2026 623 spectators
IBF Falun Home
6:7
Nykvarns IBF Away
P1 5:4 P2 0:1 P3 1:1 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 14%
86% IBF Falun
vs
14% Nykvarns IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (IBF Falun 1746, Nykvarns IBF 1472) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 71% of this season's games
IBF Falun 01:05 0:1 Hampus Ahrén06:31 1:1 Jonathan Berglund09:23 2:1 Oliver Sandberg09:56 3:1 Noel Seiler11:47 4:1 Daniel Kalentun14:29 5:1 Emil Ruud14:46 5:2 Valdemar Ahlroth17:48 5:3 Kevin Rigogiannis18:29 5:4 Sebastian Thorberg25:34 5:5 Valdemar Ahlroth56:27 6:5 Ahmad Dakhallah58:51 6:6 Lucas RigogiannisOT 03:22 6:7 Markus Jonsson Nykvarns IBF
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
4 IBF Falun
Comeback
4 goals down

Key moments

  1. 56:27 6:5 Ahmad Dakhallah (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 69% → 92%
  2. 58:51 6:6 Lucas Rigogiannis (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 5% → 32%
  3. OT 03:22 6:7 Markus Jonsson (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 33% → 100%

The line shows IBF Falun's chance to win (top) against Nykvarns IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
18Games played19
43Points28
2.39Points per Game (PPG)1.47
13Wins7
2Losses8
1 OT/PS Wins 3
2 OT/PS Losses 1
7.39Goals per Game (GPG)5.68
4.83Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.16
2.56Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.47
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L W W L
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
4.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.62Points per Game (PPG)0.62
3.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.88
80.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
80.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)11.11