Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · PS Fri 20 Feb 2026 503 spectators
AIK IBF Home
6:7
Nykvarns IBF Away
P1 2:2 P2 2:1 P3 2:3 OT 0:0PS 0:1

Pre-game win probability

41% AIK IBF
vs
59% Nykvarns IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (AIK IBF 1352, Nykvarns IBF 1464) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 98% of this season's games
AIK IBF 02:43 1:0 Jonas Rosén16:11 2:0 Andreas Stefansson17:35 2:1 Valdemar Ahlroth19:10 2:2 Lucas Rigogiannis31:26 3:2 Jakob Jonsson33:45 3:3 Valdemar Ahlroth39:49 4:3 Andreas Stefansson42:58 4:4 Hampus Ahrén46:01 4:5 Liam Arvidsson55:51 5:5 Jonathan Blomqvist56:26 6:5 Andreas Stefansson57:26 6:6 Lucas Rigogiannis Nykvarns IBF
Lead changes
2
Ties
5
Largest lead
2 AIK IBF
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 55:51 5:5 Jonathan Blomqvist (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 15% → 46%
  2. 56:26 6:5 Andreas Stefansson (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 46% → 81%
  3. 57:26 6:6 Lucas Rigogiannis (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 16% → 54%

The line shows AIK IBF's chance to win (top) against Nykvarns IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
4Take the Lead1
1Equalizers4
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
21Games played21
18Points30
0.86Points per Game (PPG)1.43
2Wins7
10Losses9
3 OT/PS Wins 4
6 OT/PS Losses 1
4.24Goals per Game (GPG)5.76
6.10Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.29
-1.86Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.52
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W W Last 5 games W W L W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.40
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.10Points per Game (PPG)0.78
-0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.56
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0