Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 21 Feb 2026 922 spectators
P1 2:0 P2 1:0 P3 1:0

Pre-game win probability

71% IBF Falun
vs
29% Pixbo IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (IBF Falun 1650, Pixbo IBK 1541) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 3% of this season's games
IBF Falun 09:02 1:0 Noel Seiler09:47 2:0 Emil Ruud28:51 3:0 Simon Berg46:17 4:0 Patrik Burman Pixbo IBK
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 IBF Falun
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 09:02 1:0 Noel Seiler (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 71% → 81%
  2. 09:47 2:0 Emil Ruud (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 81% → 88%
  3. 28:51 3:0 Simon Berg (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 88% → 93%

The line shows IBF Falun's chance to win (top) against Pixbo IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
21Games played21
46Points38
2.19Points per Game (PPG)1.81
13Wins10
3Losses6
2 OT/PS Wins 3
3 OT/PS Losses 2
6.90Goals per Game (GPG)4.90
4.81Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.33
2.10Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.57
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W W L W L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)1.80
0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.40Points per Game (PPG)2.0
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.30
42.86Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0