Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 28 Feb 2026 412 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 0:1 P3 4:6

Pre-game win probability

50% Hovslätts IK
vs
50% Strängnäs IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Hovslätts IK 1296, Strängnäs IBK 1340) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 83% of this season's games
Hovslätts IK 04:47 0:1 Tim Lindgren05:01 1:1 Adam Bäck29:57 1:2 Omar Aldeeb42:30 2:2 Melwin Knuthas44:23 3:2 Adam Bäck44:46 4:2 Hugo Olsson47:51 5:2 Vilgot Kronstrand48:07 5:3 Omar Aldeeb49:00 5:4 Omar Aldeeb50:33 5:5 Adam Hermesgård53:58 5:6 Adam Hermesgård57:21 5:7 Adam Hermesgård58:17 5:8 Omar Aldeeb Strängnäs IBK
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
3 Hovslätts IK
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 44:23 3:2 Adam Bäck (Hovslätts IK) Hovslätts IK's win chance 50% → 71%
  2. 50:33 5:5 Adam Hermesgård (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 25% → 50%
  3. 53:58 5:6 Adam Hermesgård (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 50% → 79%

The line shows Hovslätts IK's chance to win (top) against Strängnäs IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead3
2Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
22Games played22
11Points19
0.50Points per Game (PPG)0.86
3Wins3
17Losses13
0 OT/PS Wins 4
2 OT/PS Losses 2
5.27Goals per Game (GPG)4.59
8.18Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.18
-2.91Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.59
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W L Last 5 games L L L L W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-2.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.82Points per Game (PPG)0.75
-2.27Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.08
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)42.86
28.57Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)22.22