Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 28 Feb 2026 1032 spectators
Pixbo IBK Home
4:5
AIK IBF Away
P1 0:2 P2 1:0 P3 3:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 23%
77% Pixbo IBK
vs
23% AIK IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Pixbo IBK 1517, AIK IBF 1352) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 76% of this season's games
Pixbo IBK 00:35 0:1 Jonas Rosén16:45 0:2 Alex Andersson23:34 1:2 Jakob Heins44:17 2:2 Jakob Heins44:32 2:3 Wille Jäderlund47:12 2:4 Andreas Stefansson50:42 2:5 Andreas Stefansson56:59 3:5 Jakub Faksa58:57 4:5 Emil Kalentun AIK IBF
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 AIK IBF
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 44:17 2:2 Jakob Heins (Pixbo IBK) Pixbo IBK's win chance 45% → 67%
  2. 44:32 2:3 Wille Jäderlund (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 33% → 55%
  3. 47:12 2:4 Andreas Stefansson (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 58% → 79%

The line shows Pixbo IBK's chance to win (top) against AIK IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
22Games played22
38Points19
1.73Points per Game (PPG)0.86
10Wins2
7Losses10
3 OT/PS Wins 3
2 OT/PS Losses 7
4.68Goals per Game (GPG)4.32
4.32Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.14
0.36Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.82
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W L L Last 5 games L L W W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.40
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.64Points per Game (PPG)0.64
-0.09Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.82
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0