Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 04 Mar 2026 812 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 0:4 P3 0:2

Pre-game win probability

22% Strängnäs IBK
vs
78% IBF Falun

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1379, IBF Falun 1645) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 16% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 04:14 1:0 Edwin Körberg23:26 1:1 Malte Lundmark25:29 1:2 Daniel Kalentun36:06 1:3 Emil Ruud36:38 1:4 Oliver Sandberg42:16 1:5 Emil Hallqvist Johansson47:51 1:6 Oliver Sandberg IBF Falun
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 IBF Falun
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 04:14 1:0 Edwin Körberg (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 20% → 29%
  2. 23:26 1:1 Malte Lundmark (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 62% → 75%
  3. 25:29 1:2 Daniel Kalentun (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 74% → 84%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against IBF Falun's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
23Games played23
22Points49
0.96Points per Game (PPG)2.13
4Wins14
13Losses4
4 OT/PS Wins 2
2 OT/PS Losses 3
4.74Goals per Game (GPG)6.65
6.13Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.74
-1.39Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.91
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W W Last 5 games L W L W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.20
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.27
30.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33