Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Wed 04 Mar 2026 961 spectators
Nykvarns IBF Home
7:8
Pixbo IBK Away
P1 2:3 P2 1:1 P3 4:3 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

48% Nykvarns IBF
vs
52% Pixbo IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nykvarns IBF 1425, Pixbo IBK 1484) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
Nykvarns IBF 10:24 1:0 Oscar Fondelius10:47 1:1 Filip Kalentun10:57 1:2 Victor Johansson14:05 1:3 Victor Johansson16:56 2:3 Valdemar Ahlroth27:30 2:4 Benjamin Schill29:51 3:4 Valdemar Ahlroth41:02 4:4 Niklas Ohlström41:45 5:4 Liam Arvidsson44:12 5:5 Jakob Heins44:27 5:6 Victor Johansson48:21 6:6 Niklas Ohlström52:26 7:6 Niklas Ohlström55:21 7:7 Arvid ÄseOT 02:32 7:8 Gustav Lindberg Pixbo IBK
Lead changes
5
Ties
5
Largest lead
2 Pixbo IBK
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 52:26 7:6 Niklas Ohlström (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 49% → 77%
  2. 55:21 7:7 Arvid Äse (Pixbo IBK) Pixbo IBK's win chance 19% → 51%
  3. OT 02:32 7:8 Gustav Lindberg (Pixbo IBK) Pixbo IBK's win chance 51% → 100%

The line shows Nykvarns IBF's chance to win (top) against Pixbo IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals1
2Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead3
2Equalizers3
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
23Games played23
32Points38
1.39Points per Game (PPG)1.65
7Wins10
10Losses8
5 OT/PS Wins 3
1 OT/PS Losses 2
5.74Goals per Game (GPG)4.65
6.43Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.35
-0.70Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.30
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L W L Last 5 games L W L L L
0.80Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.92Points per Game (PPG)1.82
0.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.82
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)85.71
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0