Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 07 Mar 2026 1200 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 2:1 P3 2:3

Pre-game win probability

53% Strängnäs IBK
vs
47% AIK IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1359, AIK IBF 1383) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 70% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 18:24 0:1 Oskar Milanovic Hagberg19:00 0:2 Kim Guilotte20:53 1:2 Adam Hermesgård21:26 2:2 Pelle Hansson36:17 2:3 Jakob Jonsson40:50 2:4 Oskar Milanovic Hagberg47:29 3:4 Tim Lindgren49:26 3:5 Kim Guilotte51:10 4:5 Omar Aldeeb59:58 4:6 Andreas Stefansson AIK IBF
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 AIK IBF
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 36:17 2:3 Jakob Jonsson (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 48% → 66%
  2. 47:29 3:4 Tim Lindgren (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 13% → 28%
  3. 49:26 3:5 Kim Guilotte (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 73% → 89%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against AIK IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
24Games played24
22Points24
0.92Points per Game (PPG)1.0
4Wins3
14Losses10
4 OT/PS Wins 4
2 OT/PS Losses 7
4.58Goals per Game (GPG)4.38
6.12Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.96
-1.54Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.58
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W L Last 5 games W W L W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)2.20
-1.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.91Points per Game (PPG)0.83
-1.36Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0