Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 14 Mar 2026 967 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 2:0 P3 0:3 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

38% Strängnäs IBK
vs
62% Nykvarns IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Strängnäs IBK 1326, Nykvarns IBF 1455) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 87% of this season's games
Strängnäs IBK 02:52 1:0 Adam Hermesgård03:15 1:1 Kevin Rigogiannis11:36 2:1 Pelle Hansson25:18 3:1 Edwin Körberg35:19 4:1 Pelle Hansson42:25 4:2 Kevin Rigogiannis51:47 4:3 Sebastian Thorberg57:42 4:4 Alexander IsbergOT 01:42 5:4 Viktor Seth Nykvarns IBF
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Strängnäs IBK
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 51:47 4:3 Sebastian Thorberg (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 11% → 28%
  2. 57:42 4:4 Alexander Isberg (Nykvarns IBF) Nykvarns IBF's win chance 16% → 55%
  3. OT 01:42 5:4 Viktor Seth (Strängnäs IBK) Strängnäs IBK's win chance 45% → 100%

The line shows Strängnäs IBK's chance to win (top) against Nykvarns IBF's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
25Games played25
22Points36
0.88Points per Game (PPG)1.44
4Wins8
15Losses10
4 OT/PS Wins 5
2 OT/PS Losses 2
4.56Goals per Game (GPG)5.88
6.12Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.32
-1.56Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.44
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L L Last 5 games L W L L W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.20
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.83Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-1.42Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.08
42.86Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0