Sweden 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 14 Mar 2026 763 spectators
AIK IBF Home
9:8
Hovslätts IK Away
P1 3:2 P2 0:4 P3 5:2 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

80% AIK IBF
vs
20% Hovslätts IK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (AIK IBF 1416, Hovslätts IK 1218) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
AIK IBF 03:21 1:0 Kim Guilotte06:53 2:0 Andreas Stefansson10:00 3:0 Andreas Stefansson12:12 3:1 Max Johansson13:49 3:2 Teddy Hultberg21:56 3:3 Filip Larsson25:59 3:4 Vilgot Kronstrand28:55 3:5 Adam Bäck29:55 3:6 Noel Gustafsson41:00 4:6 Andreas Stefansson42:41 5:6 Andreas Stefansson54:46 5:7 Filip Larsson54:54 5:8 Wille Knuthas55:39 6:8 Andreas Stefansson58:56 7:8 Liam Åström59:51 8:8 Jonas RosénOT 03:06 9:8 Liam Åström Hovslätts IK
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 AIK IBF
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 54:46 5:7 Filip Larsson (Hovslätts IK) Hovslätts IK's win chance 69% → 90%
  2. 59:51 8:8 Jonas Rosén (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 10% → 63%
  3. OT 03:06 9:8 Liam Åström (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 63% → 100%

The line shows AIK IBF's chance to win (top) against Hovslätts IK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals2
2Penalty kills2
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
25Games played25
27Points11
1.08Points per Game (PPG)0.44
4Wins3
10Losses20
4 OT/PS Wins 0
7 OT/PS Losses 2
4.44Goals per Game (GPG)5.20
5.88Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.16
-1.44Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.96
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W W Last 5 games W L L L L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.60
0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.17Points per Game (PPG)0.17
-0.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.33
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)63.64
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0