Sweden 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final · PS Fri 20 Mar 2026 1831 spectators
P1 2:2 P2 1:0 P3 1:2 OT 0:0PS 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 21%
79% IBF Falun
vs
21% Pixbo IBK

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (IBF Falun 1621, Pixbo IBK 1440) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
IBF Falun 00:38 1:0 Emil Hallqvist Johansson05:33 2:0 Emil Lundmark17:25 2:1 Arvid Äse17:59 2:2 Jakub Faksa36:54 3:2 Emil Hallqvist Johansson48:30 3:3 Emil Kalentun52:08 4:3 Malte Lundmark57:34 4:4 Jakob Heins Pixbo IBK
Lead changes
0
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 IBF Falun
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 48:30 3:3 Emil Kalentun (Pixbo IBK) Pixbo IBK's win chance 15% → 33%
  2. 52:08 4:3 Malte Lundmark (IBF Falun) IBF Falun's win chance 65% → 86%
  3. 57:34 4:4 Jakob Heins (Pixbo IBK) Pixbo IBK's win chance 9% → 37%

The line shows IBF Falun's chance to win (top) against Pixbo IBK's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 0.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
1Power play goals1
3Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers3
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
26Games played26
53Points40
2.04Points per Game (PPG)1.54
15Wins10
5Losses10
2 OT/PS Wins 4
4 OT/PS Losses 2
6.46Goals per Game (GPG)4.69
4.69Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.58
1.77Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.12
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W L L Last 5 games L L W L L
1.40Points per Game (PPG)0.40
0.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.15Points per Game (PPG)1.69
2.23Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.54
40.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0