Sweden Women 26/27 Regular Season Scheduled Sun 14 Mar 2027 · 14:00

Win probability

93% Thorengruppen IBK
vs
7% IBK Lockerud Mariestad

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings today (Thorengruppen IBK 1687, IBK Lockerud Mariestad 1284) with home advantage. How it works

What's at stake

First place in sight: Thorengruppen IBK finish top in 40% of simulated seasons with a win, 25% with a loss.

TeamTodayWinLoss Title Thorengruppen IBK 30% 30% 26% IBK Lockerud Mariestad 0% 0% 0% 1st place Thorengruppen IBK 39% 40% 25% IBK Lockerud Mariestad 0% 0% 0%

From the season simulations: each team's chance today, in the seasons where it wins this game (overtime included) and in those where it loses. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
0First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played7
17Points0
2.83Points per Game (PPG)0.0
5Wins0
0Losses7
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
7.0Goals per Game (GPG)2.0
2.33Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.0
4.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.0
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L L L L
2.80Points per Game (PPG)0.0
5.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.67Points per Game (PPG)0.0
5.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.75
55.56Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0