Sweden 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 10 Oct 2026 310 spectators
P1 2:0 P2 1:1 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

51% AIK IBF
vs
49% Warberg IC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (AIK IBF 1316, Warberg IC 1357) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 48% of this season's games
AIK IBF 09:05 1:0 Simon Möller15:13 2:0 Andreas Stefansson27:47 2:1 Filip Erheden38:52 3:1 Markus Eriksson45:42 4:1 Andreas Stefansson48:46 4:2 Simon Svensson50:57 4:3 Zeb Johnsson Warberg IC
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
3 AIK IBF
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 27:47 2:1 Filip Erheden (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 21% → 34%
  2. 38:52 3:1 Markus Eriksson (AIK IBF) AIK IBF's win chance 69% → 83%
  3. 50:57 4:3 Zeb Johnsson (Warberg IC) Warberg IC's win chance 9% → 24%

The line shows AIK IBF's chance to win (top) against Warberg IC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
0Points2
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.50
0Wins0
4Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.50Goals per Game (GPG)5.25
6.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.0
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.75
1.75Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.25Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.25

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L Last 5 games L L L W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.50
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.75

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)28.57
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)37.50