Sweden 26/27 Regular Season Scheduled Fri 18 Dec 2026 · 18:30

Win probability

88% IBF Falun
vs
12% Nykvarns IBF

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings today (IBF Falun 1722, Nykvarns IBF 1424) with home advantage. How it works

What's at stake

Nykvarns IBF's playoff chance: 19% today, 32% with a win, 17% with a loss.

TeamTodayWinLoss Playoffs IBF Falun 100% 100% 100% Nykvarns IBF 19% 32% 17% Title IBF Falun 21% 21% 18% Nykvarns IBF 0% 0% 0% 1st place IBF Falun 14% 14% 9% Nykvarns IBF 0% 0% 0%

From the season simulations: each team's chance today, in the seasons where it wins this game (overtime included) and in those where it loses. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
0First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played7
15Points8
2.14Points per Game (PPG)1.14
3Wins1
0Losses2
2 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 3
7.71Goals per Game (GPG)5.29
5.14Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.14
2.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.14
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L W W Last 5 games L L L L L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)0.60
1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.33Points per Game (PPG)1.25
4.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.50
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33