Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 27 Sep 2025 167 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 2:1 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

56% Bauska
vs
44% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1411, Ķekava/RB&B 1413) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 82% of this season's games
Bauska 05:49 1:0 Jānis Akmentiņš18:49 1:1 Toms Ķeirāns22:37 2:1 Pēteris Zeltiņš29:37 2:2 Reinis Melgailis37:16 3:2 Ralfs Akmentiņš47:35 4:2 Artis Černovskis49:00 4:3 Toms Ķeirāns51:23 4:4 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
0
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 Bauska
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 29:37 2:2 Reinis Melgailis (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 30% → 45%
  2. 37:16 3:2 Ralfs Akmentiņš (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 54% → 72%
  3. 51:23 4:4 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 22% → 47%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead3
2Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played3
3Points0
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1Wins0
2Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.67Goals per Game (GPG)4.33
11.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.0
-6.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.67
4.67Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.67
2.33Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.67

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L Last 5 games L L L
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-6.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.67

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0