Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 04 Oct 2025 153 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 0:8 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

22% Bauska
vs
78% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1389, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1649) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 46% of this season's games
Bauska 07:22 1:0 Niks Daniels Bosakovs07:50 2:0 Ralfs Akmentiņš18:15 2:1 Edijs Šenbergs20:48 2:2 Valdis Valters Vanags23:03 2:3 Eduards Stūre23:07 2:4 Valters Lapiņš24:08 2:5 Kristers Leksis24:36 2:6 Niks Blumfelds31:40 2:7 Edijs Šenbergs33:18 2:8 Matīss Kristiāns Millers37:41 2:9 Renārs Liepiņš43:24 2:10 Valters Lapiņš45:22 2:11 Ulvis Mētra52:47 2:12 Valters Lapiņš58:17 3:12 Pēteris Zeltiņš Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
10 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 07:50 2:0 Ralfs Akmentiņš (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 31% → 43%
  2. 18:15 2:1 Edijs Šenbergs (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 50% → 64%
  3. 20:48 2:2 Valdis Valters Vanags (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 62% → 75%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 75.0

Penalty kill efficiency

25.0 / 100.0

Penalties

4 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays4
0Power play goals3
4Penalty kills2
3Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
3Points12
0.75Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1Wins4
3Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.50Goals per Game (GPG)8.0
9.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.25
-5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.75
4.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.75
1.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.25

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L Last 5 games W W W W
0.75Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.75

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.50
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
56.25Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0