Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Thu 02 Oct 2025 147 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 1:4 P3 1:0

Pre-game win probability

28% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
72% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1435, Rubene 1646) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 41% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 02:40 0:1 Ingars Matisons16:12 1:1 Svens Balodis27:14 1:2 Jēkabs Keišs31:38 1:3 Dāvis Zēmelis32:04 1:4 Kārlis Bitmanis34:17 2:4 Patriks Zvejnieks37:08 2:5 Matīss Celms45:03 3:5 Reinis Melgailis Rubene
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Rubene
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 16:12 1:1 Svens Balodis (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 19% → 29%
  2. 27:14 1:2 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 68% → 80%
  3. 31:38 1:3 Dāvis Zēmelis (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 80% → 89%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays3
0Power play goals1
3Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
3Points11
0.75Points per Game (PPG)2.75
1Wins3
3Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.50Goals per Game (GPG)9.50
6.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.25
-1.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.25
1.50Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.50
0.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W Last 5 games W W W W
0.75Points per Game (PPG)2.75
-1.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.25

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.0
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)77.78
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)36.84