Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 03 Oct 2025 732 spectators
P1 3:2 P2 0:1 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

29% FBK Valmiera
vs
71% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1462, Rubene 1662) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 75% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 07:37 1:0 Aleksejs Jakovļevs09:08 1:1 Matīss Celms11:11 2:1 Ričards Eglītis15:11 3:1 (Rubene) bumbiņa savos vārtos19:37 3:2 Matīss Celms28:33 3:3 Jēkabs Keišs46:10 3:4 Pavel Semenov48:18 3:5 Jēkabs Keišs51:51 4:5 Georgs Māziņš Rubene
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 19:37 3:2 Matīss Celms (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 41% → 56%
  2. 28:33 3:3 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 51% → 67%
  3. 46:10 3:4 Pavel Semenov (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 62% → 81%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played5
4Points14
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.80
1Wins4
2Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.25Goals per Game (GPG)8.60
6.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.20
-1.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.40
3.25Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.80
-1.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.50
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
78.57Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)36.36