Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 11 Oct 2025 287 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 3:3 P3 3:2 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

80% Masters Ulbroka/LU
vs
20% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Masters Ulbroka/LU 1680, Ķekava/RB&B 1485) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 98% of this season's games
Masters Ulbroka/LU 21:33 0:1 Toms Ķeirāns25:42 1:1 Jurģis Patriks Aizupietis30:47 2:1 Niks Blumfelds31:32 2:2 Valters Kalnietis34:11 2:3 Valters Kalnietis34:23 3:3 Niks Blumfelds49:27 3:4 Kārlis Degins50:51 4:4 Valters Lapiņš51:29 4:5 Patriks Bliska58:39 5:5 Valters Lapiņš59:01 6:5 Valters LapiņšOT 00:16 7:5 Valters Lapiņš Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
3
Ties
5
Largest lead
2 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 51:29 4:5 Patriks Bliska (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 33% → 62%
  2. 58:39 5:5 Valters Lapiņš (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 17% → 64%
  3. 59:01 6:5 Valters Lapiņš (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 64% → 94%

The line shows Masters Ulbroka/LU's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 75.0

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays3
1Power play goals2
3Penalty kills4
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played6
18Points6
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
6Wins2
0Losses4
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
8.50Goals per Game (GPG)4.67
4.33Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.17
4.17Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.50
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L W L W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.20
4.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
63.64Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)10.0