Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 11 Oct 2025 104 spectators
Bauska Home
5:10
FBK SĀC Away
P1 1:2 P2 4:2 P3 0:5

Pre-game win probability

45% Bauska
vs
55% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1341, FBK SĀC 1423) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 81% of this season's games
Bauska 04:32 0:1 Kevins Šmits09:03 0:2 Miks Nagliņš10:37 1:2 Markuss Kaņeps24:27 1:3 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš26:55 1:4 Ralfs Stratans31:29 2:4 Pēteris Zeltiņš33:06 3:4 Everts Janušauskis34:10 4:4 Pēteris Zeltiņš39:59 5:4 Pēteris Zeltiņš43:04 5:5 Alvis Dāle48:17 5:6 Miks Nagliņš53:18 5:7 Kristers Orlovs56:04 5:8 Kristers Orlovs56:37 5:9 Miks Nagliņš FBK SĀC
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
4 FBK SĀC
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 39:59 5:4 Pēteris Zeltiņš (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 47% → 66%
  2. 43:04 5:5 Alvis Dāle (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 32% → 53%
  3. 48:17 5:6 Miks Nagliņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 53% → 76%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 25.0

Penalty kill efficiency

75.0 / 0.0

Penalties

4 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays4
1Power play goals1
4Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played6
3Points6
0.50Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1Wins2
5Losses4
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.50Goals per Game (GPG)7.0
10.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.33
-6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.33
3.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
1.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games W L L L L
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.75
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
52.94Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)10.0