Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 26 Oct 2025 222 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
9:6
Bauska Away
P1 2:2 P2 2:2 P3 5:2

Pre-game win probability

85% FBK Valmiera
vs
15% Bauska

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1530, Bauska 1273) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 84% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 11:01 0:1 Arvis Kreicbergs12:08 1:1 Georgs Māziņš13:50 1:2 Ralfs Akmentiņš18:41 2:2 Ralfs Matīss Balodis20:55 2:3 Ralfs Akmentiņš31:42 2:4 Pēteris Zeltiņš31:57 3:4 Ričards Eglītis39:57 4:4 Mārtiņš Broks45:31 5:4 Kārlis Viļums46:14 6:4 Ralfs Klodžs46:56 6:5 Everts Janušauskis48:49 6:6 Artis Černovskis55:36 7:6 Mārtiņš Broks58:25 8:6 Ričards Eglītis59:30 9:6 Ričards Eglītis Bauska
Lead changes
1
Ties
4
Largest lead
3 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 31:57 3:4 Ričards Eglītis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 48% → 65%
  2. 39:57 4:4 Mārtiņš Broks (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 58% → 75%
  3. 55:36 7:6 Mārtiņš Broks (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 68% → 91%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Bauska's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 66.67

Penalties

3 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays3
1Power play goals2
3Penalty kills3
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead3
3Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played8
11Points3
1.38Points per Game (PPG)0.38
3Wins1
3Losses7
0 OT/PS Wins 0
2 OT/PS Losses 0
6.38Goals per Game (GPG)4.88
5.75Goals Against per Game (GA/G)10.75
0.62Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.88
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.40
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W L Last 5 games L L L L L
1.40Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
0.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-8.50
62.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)58.82
72.22Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0