Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 24 Oct 2025 315 spectators
P1 3:4 P2 2:1 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

48% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
52% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1492, FBK Valmiera 1551) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 96% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 00:14 1:0 Kārlis Degins03:54 1:1 Armands Runcis04:22 2:1 Patriks Bliska12:01 2:2 Ralfs Matīss Balodis14:02 2:3 Georgs Māziņš15:34 3:3 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons17:49 3:4 Ralfs Matīss Balodis26:17 4:4 Toms Ķeirāns30:58 5:4 Reinis Melgailis34:01 5:5 Ralfs Matīss Balodis43:24 6:5 Patriks Bliska45:50 7:5 Patriks Bliska47:51 7:6 Adrians Bukšs49:19 7:7 Ralfs Klodžs FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
2
Ties
6
Largest lead
2 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 34:01 5:5 Ralfs Matīss Balodis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 34% → 51%
  2. 43:24 6:5 Patriks Bliska (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 49% → 70%
  3. 49:19 7:7 Ralfs Klodžs (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 26% → 51%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

40.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 60.0

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
5Power plays3
2Power play goals2
3Penalty kills5
2Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
4Take the Lead2
2Equalizers4
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes3
02+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played7
7Points10
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.43
2Wins3
4Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 1
4.86Goals per Game (GPG)6.29
5.43Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.43
-0.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.86
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L W L Last 5 games L L L W W
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.20
0.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
23.08Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0