Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 25 Oct 2025 158 spectators
Talsu NSS/Krauzers Home
5:6
Rubene Away
P1 2:1 P2 2:2 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

52% Talsu NSS/Krauzers
vs
48% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1627, Rubene 1655) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 92% of this season's games
Talsu NSS/Krauzers 00:41 0:1 Artis Matīss Fogels11:54 1:1 Jānis Ragovskis18:43 2:1 Mariss Bergmanis22:19 2:2 Kārlis Dūmiņš22:56 3:2 Adrians Spunde36:31 4:2 Toms Akmeņlauks36:53 4:3 Matīss Celms43:28 4:4 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts52:18 4:5 Matīss Celms53:05 5:5 Dilans Kronentāls55:35 5:6 Jēkabs Keišs Rubene
Lead changes
2
Ties
4
Largest lead
2 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 52:18 4:5 Matīss Celms (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 49% → 76%
  2. 53:05 5:5 Dilans Kronentāls (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 23% → 51%
  3. 55:35 5:6 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 49% → 81%

The line shows Talsu NSS/Krauzers's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead3
2Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes2
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played8
17Points20
2.43Points per Game (PPG)2.50
5Wins6
1Losses1
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
8.43Goals per Game (GPG)7.88
5.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.25
3.43Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.62
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games W W W W L
2.80Points per Game (PPG)2.40
4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.67
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)72.73
87.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)37.50